Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-2
Peña Sport vs Ejea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
CAY
60%
24%
16%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
CHA
0 - 0
PEÑ
69%
20%
11%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1979 |
EJE
0 - 1
PEÑ
51%
23%
25%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
HAR
60%
23%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
VAL
3 - 2
PEÑ
66%
22%
12%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ejea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
RUN
2 - 0
EJE
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
EJE
1 - 2
RSO
51%
26%
24%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1979 |
EJE
0 - 1
PEÑ
51%
23%
25%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
TOL
2 - 0
EJE
67%
20%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
EJE
1 - 3
ALA
57%
23%
20%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |