Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 2-1
Peña Sport vs Deportivo Alavés B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
OSA
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LEA
1 - 1
PEÑ
61%
23%
17%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CAU
27%
24%
50%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BUR
3 - 0
PEÑ
73%
18%
9%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
SDA
16%
24%
60%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +3 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
BFC
0 - 0
ALA
32%
27%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ALA
0 - 0
ZAM
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
AMU
1 - 1
ALA
35%
27%
39%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ALA
2 - 0
SOD
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
LON
0 - 1
ALA
35%
28%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |