Peña Sport vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
UDL
22%
27%
51%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ACF
2 - 1
PEÑ
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PEÑ
2 - 4
AST
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
RAC
3 - 0
PEÑ
77%
17%
6%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
COX
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 0
CPC
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 1
CEL
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 0
CDG
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ACF
2 - 1
CEL
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 1
BUR
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |