Peña Sport vs Cantolagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
12º
3º
44
2º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PAM
0 - 2
PEÑ
41%
25%
35%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
AZK
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 1
PEÑ
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 0
PEÑ
37%
24%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
OBE
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cantolagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
BUR
64%
21%
16%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 2
CAN
40%
26%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 3
CDB
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 0
CAN
59%
21%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 1
HUA
35%
24%
40%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |