Peña Sport vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SDA
4 - 1
PEÑ
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
BAR
20%
26%
53%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CDV
1 - 1
PEÑ
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
ATH
22%
27%
52%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
IZA
0 - 1
PEÑ
54%
25%
21%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 1
RAC
21%
27%
52%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SPB
3 - 1
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 1
MIR
20%
26%
55%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
GER
1 - 0
BUR
56%
26%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 0
ARE
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |