Peña Sport FC Sub 19 vs UD Mutilvera Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
76.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+216%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
16º
13º
39
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 54 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport FC Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 1
PEN
38%
22%
39%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 5
VAL
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LAG
1 - 0
PEN
47%
21%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
ALS
29%
22%
50%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
UDC
47%
23%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Mutilvera Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UDM
1 - 2
CIR
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ROT
0 - 1
UDM
7%
14%
78%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 3
UDM
9%
16%
76%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
UDM
4 - 1
VAL
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
UDM
2 - 0
UDL
51%
23%
26%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |