Peña Sport FC U19 vs SD Alsasua U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
33%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+205%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
13º
16º
15º
0
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
OSA
9%
14%
77%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ADS
2 - 1
PEN
33%
22%
45%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 5
CDO
17%
19%
64%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UDM
3 - 1
PEN
56%
20%
24%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 6
CIR
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SD Alsasua U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CDT
5 - 0
ALS
55%
20%
25%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
CDP
5 - 2
ALS
70%
16%
14%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CDI
4 - 1
ALS
65%
18%
18%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
CDF
8 - 0
ALS
58%
19%
23%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VDA
6 - 1
ALS
37%
22%
42%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | -2 |