Peña Revilla SD vs EMD Santillana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
40.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Revilla SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SSD
2 - 0
PRE
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PRE
5 - 1
ERO
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GAM
3 - 1
PRE
73%
17%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
RSC
3 - 1
PRE
35%
24%
40%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PRE
3 - 1
MFC
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
BAR
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ARE
2 - 1
SAN
27%
23%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
SEL
33%
25%
42%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
SMA
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAY
0 - 2
SAN
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |