Peña Revilla SD vs Rayo Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Revilla SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 0
PRE
29%
24%
48%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PRE
3 - 1
RIB
42%
24%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TEX
1 - 0
PRE
53%
24%
24%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PRE
2 - 0
NAV
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NOJ
1 - 0
PRE
27%
24%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
RSC
1 - 4
BAR
13%
17%
71%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ARE
3 - 0
RSC
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RSC
1 - 3
SEL
28%
25%
48%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 0
RSC
24%
24%
52%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RSC
1 - 0
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |