Peña Ferranca vs San Lorenzo Flumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Ferranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CDM
0 - 1
PEN
29%
25%
47%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
ADT
21%
23%
56%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
PEN
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 2
BIE
49%
24%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
DEL
1 - 0
PEN
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo Flumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
ADT
27%
24%
49%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
SIE
17%
21%
62%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 0
SAN
31%
24%
45%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
CDA
44%
24%
31%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MAL
2 - 1
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |