Peña Ferranca vs Peña Fragatina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
56.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Ferranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LAN
3 - 1
PEN
31%
22%
48%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 1
ESP
62%
20%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BOL
5 - 4
PEN
25%
21%
55%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAN
31%
23%
47%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
PEN
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Fragatina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PFR
5 - 2
EST
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PFR
2 - 0
VAL
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 1
PFR
31%
21%
48%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PFR
4 - 1
ESP
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 3
PFR
21%
19%
59%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |