Peña Ferranca vs Esplus CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Ferranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BOL
5 - 4
PEN
25%
21%
55%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAN
31%
23%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
PEN
42%
23%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
PES
1 - 4
PEN
26%
24%
51%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
EST
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Esplus CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 1
EST
54%
20%
26%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PFR
4 - 1
ESP
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 1
LAN
43%
22%
35%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 1
ESP
43%
23%
35%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 1
SAN
25%
21%
54%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |