Peña Ferranca vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Ferranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
CDM
3 - 1
PEN
41%
24%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 0
PEN
72%
17%
12%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 1
PEN
49%
23%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 0
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SAB
4 - 2
PEN
63%
20%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
UDC
4 - 0
ASJ
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CFV
1 - 3
UDC
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
UDC
0 - 4
TAM
10%
17%
73%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 1
UDC
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
UDC
0 - 3
SAR
16%
23%
61%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |