Penya Deportiva vs Santa Catalina Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CLL
1 - 0
PXD
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PXD
2 - 1
ALC
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
PBL
0 - 0
PXD
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PXD
2 - 1
MER
60%
22%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SDF
0 - 0
PXD
42%
27%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Catalina Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
PCE
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
STA
2 - 1
CLL
27%
25%
47%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
STA
58%
23%
19%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
PBL
22%
25%
53%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MER
0 - 0
STA
66%
20%
14%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |