Peña Balsamaiso CF vs Yagüe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
9º
7º
19
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
2.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Balsamaiso CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 1
BAL
37%
24%
39%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 0
CDF
39%
24%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BER
2 - 2
BAL
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
RIV
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RRF
1 - 1
BAL
18%
20%
63%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
YAG
3 - 4
CAS
38%
24%
38%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NAX
3 - 0
YAG
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
YAG
0 - 1
CDC
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
YAG
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
YAG
2 - 3
OYO
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |