Peña Balsamaiso CF vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
9º
7º
67
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
2.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Balsamaiso CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CDC
0 - 2
BAL
52%
23%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
ALB
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
AUT
0 - 2
BAL
35%
24%
41%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
COM
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
BAL
51%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NAX
4 - 0
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NAX
1 - 0
CAS
56%
24%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
NAX
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NAX
1 - 0
TUD
18%
24%
59%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NAX
1 - 3
UDL
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |