Peña Balsamaiso CF vs Casalarreina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
8º
12
14º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 90 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 81 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 71 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 55 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 48 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 35 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 27 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 77% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Balsamaiso CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
BAL
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 3
NAX
14%
17%
69%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ARN
3 - 0
BAL
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 2
UDL
18%
24%
58%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
BAL
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
BER
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
OYO
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 1
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 4
NAX
12%
16%
71%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ARN
7 - 1
CAS
48%
23%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |