Peña Balsamaiso CF vs Casalarreina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
9º
7º
37
7º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
94% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
2.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Balsamaiso CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NAX
1 - 0
BAL
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
CDC
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 0
COM
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
OYO
5 - 0
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
VIA
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
17%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 4
NAX
42%
23%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
CDC
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
COM
0 - 2
CAS
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 3
OYO
48%
23%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |