Peña Balsamaiso CF vs Autol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
8º
20
8º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 90 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 81 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 71 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 55 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 48 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 35 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 27 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Balsamaiso CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BAL
3 - 1
TED
67%
18%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 0
BAL
23%
24%
54%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 4
VIA
81%
13%
7%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
OYO
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
BAL
46%
24%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BER
1 - 1
AUT
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
AUT
4 - 1
CAS
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
AUT
81%
12%
6%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
AUT
0 - 4
NAX
8%
14%
78%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ARN
4 - 1
AUT
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |