Peña Balsamaiso CF vs Arnedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
10º
17º
11º
42
10º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Balsamaiso CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 2
BAL
22%
22%
57%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
UDL
20%
22%
59%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +3 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
OYO
2 - 0
BAL
49%
25%
27%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
COM
0 - 1
BAL
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 0
BER
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ARN
0 - 3
VIA
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RRI
2 - 4
ARN
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 3
VAR
27%
23%
51%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
3 - 1
HAR
61%
22%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALF
2 - 1
ARN
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |