Pelotas vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
IRA
2 - 1
PEL
59%
24%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SCI
3 - 2
PEL
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ECS
1 - 1
PEL
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
PEL
87%
10%
3%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ECS
1 - 1
PEL
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
MET
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CAX
4 - 1
MAR
69%
20%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 3
BRA
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 2
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRI
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |