Pelotas vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 0
PEL
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 1
PEN
25%
27%
47%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
PEL
82%
15%
3%
|
46 | 83 | 37 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
PEL
0 - 3
CAX
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 2
SLU
40%
26%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
LON
2 - 1
SAN
12%
22%
66%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
LON
1 - 0
MET
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
GRÊ
3 - 3
LON
22%
24%
53%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
LON
0 - 0
GRÊ
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
LON
34%
23%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |