Pelotas vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
64.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AIM
1 - 1
PEL
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SLU
4 - 2
PEL
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PEL
3 - 1
JUV
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
YPI
2 - 1
PEL
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SCI
3 - 1
PEL
86%
12%
3%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
AME
0 - 2
GRE
26%
28%
46%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 0
JUV
82%
14%
4%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 0
GRE
14%
24%
63%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SCI
0 - 1
GRE
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AIM
2 - 1
GRE
12%
23%
65%
|
87 | 48 | 39 | -1 |