Pelotas vs Esportivo BG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 0
PEL
90%
9%
2%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
PEL
1 - 2
AIM
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
PEL
1 - 1
SLU
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 3
PEL
76%
17%
8%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
PEL
0 - 2
YPI
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 2
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
SLU
1 - 1
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
CAX
2 - 1
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 2
REM
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 2
GRE
13%
26%
61%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |