Pelotas vs Esportivo BG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
ECS
1 - 0
PEL
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 1
PEL
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CRU
0 - 1
PEL
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 0
GRE
10%
18%
72%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 1
PEL
71%
18%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 2
GRE
8%
18%
74%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
PAS
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 2
ESP
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 1
PAS
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
GFC
0 - 2
ESP
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |