Pelotas vs Esportivo BG analysis

Pelotas Esportivo BG
49 ELO 44
-3.3% Tilt -10.8%
4194º General ELO ranking 18531º
171º Country ELO ranking 469º
ELO win probability
50.1%
Pelotas
23.7%
Draw
26.2%
Esportivo BG

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
Pelotas
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.1%
Win probability
Esportivo BG
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pelotas
+12%
-24%
Esportivo BG

ELO progression

Pelotas
Esportivo BG
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pelotas
Pelotas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2010
PEL
Pelotas
4 - 1
Ypiranga FC
YPI
30%
26%
44%
46 52 6 0
23 Jan. 2010
NOV
Novo Hamburgo
1 - 0
Pelotas
PEL
57%
22%
21%
46 51 5 0
20 Jan. 2010
JUV
EC Juventude
1 - 3
Pelotas
PEL
76%
17%
8%
45 64 19 +1
17 Jan. 2010
PEL
Pelotas
2 - 3
Grêmio
GRE
11%
20%
70%
45 84 39 0
09 Aug. 2009
JMA
J. Malucelli
3 - 1
Pelotas
PEL
65%
22%
13%
45 58 13 0

Matches

Esportivo BG
Esportivo BG
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2010
CAX
Caxias do Sul
1 - 0
Esportivo BG
ESP
70%
18%
12%
46 64 18 0
24 Jan. 2010
ESP
Esportivo BG
1 - 2
EC São José
ECS
33%
25%
43%
46 55 9 0
20 Jan. 2010
ESP
Esportivo BG
3 - 2
Canoas SC
CAN
30%
25%
45%
45 55 10 +1
17 Jan. 2010
SAN
Santa Cruz RS
3 - 1
Esportivo BG
ESP
53%
23%
24%
46 50 4 -1
03 Apr. 2009
ESP
Esportivo BG
1 - 2
Inter Santa Maria
ISM
40%
26%
35%
47 51 4 -1