Pelotas vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
46%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
PEL
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 0
MAR
30%
30%
40%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
PEL
0 - 1
ECS
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 0
PEL
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
ESP
2 - 1
PEL
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 1
TUB
68%
21%
11%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 1
CAX
51%
28%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 2
CAX
85%
12%
3%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
CAX
0 - 2
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
YPI
0 - 0
CAX
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |