Pelotas vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CAN
3 - 2
PEL
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
PEL
2 - 1
VER
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ISM
3 - 1
PEL
46%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
PEL
2 - 1
POR
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
ECA
0 - 1
PEL
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAX
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
CAX
1 - 0
CAN
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ECA
2 - 2
CAX
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
CAX
2 - 0
YPI
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAX
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |