Pelister vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
REN
0 - 0
PEL
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
PEL
2 - 1
TET
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NAP
1 - 0
PEL
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
PEL
73%
18%
10%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 0
RAB
23%
26%
50%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
VAR
5 - 0
SIL
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
DRI
0 - 1
VAR
30%
31%
40%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
HTR
0 - 0
VAR
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
PEL
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 0
REN
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |