North Macedonia - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 3-1
Pelister vs Turnovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2016 |
HTR
1 - 2
PEL
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
PEL
1 - 0
FKS
44%
28%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LJU
0 - 0
PEL
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PEL
3 - 2
KGE
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GOS
1 - 2
PEL
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Turnovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2016 |
HTR
1 - 2
PEL
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
HTR
5 - 0
MET
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
HTR
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
MLA
0 - 2
HTR
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MET
0 - 4
HTR
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |