North Macedonia Cup Last 16
Global 3-4
Pelister vs Renova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SHK
2 - 1
PEL
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
REN
2 - 0
PEL
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PEL
3 - 0
RAB
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MAK
2 - 2
PEL
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 2
PEL
17%
24%
60%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SIL
0 - 0
REN
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
REN
2 - 0
PEL
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SHK
0 - 0
REN
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
RAB
1 - 0
REN
43%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
GOR
1 - 3
REN
12%
19%
69%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |