Pelister vs Gostivar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
6º
10º
10º
9
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 42 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 34 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 34 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 28 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 26 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 22 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 21 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 4% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
31.5% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32.5% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
35% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
RAB
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
PEL
1 - 1
VOK
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PEL
0 - 2
GOS
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
PEL
2 - 2
SIL
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
PEL
5 - 0
NOV
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 1
TIK
34%
25%
41%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 1
PLA
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PEL
0 - 2
GOS
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
RAB
2 - 1
GOS
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 0
OHR
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |