Pelister vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
9º
8º
19
2º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 44 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 44 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 39 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 29 |
6º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 23 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 23 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 18 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 17 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 17 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 91% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BES
2 - 0
PEL
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
OHR
0 - 5
PEL
17%
22%
62%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
ZEM
3 - 1
PEL
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
NOV
0 - 0
PEL
12%
19%
69%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
RAB
3 - 0
PEL
62%
23%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 2
AKP
38%
24%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
0 - 2
AKP
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AKP
2 - 2
MAR
42%
25%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
AKP
0 - 2
DEP
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
TIK
2 - 0
AKP
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |