Pelikan Lowicz vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelikan Lowicz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LTM
2 - 1
PEL
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
PEL
3 - 1
LWA
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
MVS
0 - 0
PEL
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PEL
2 - 1
MKS
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
PEL
2 - 3
HUR
44%
23%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
UWA
2 - 3
POL
14%
21%
65%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
5 - 2
UWA
25%
24%
50%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
UWA
1 - 2
RWM
85%
10%
5%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 0
UWA
55%
25%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
WIK
2 - 9
UWA
17%
21%
62%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |