Felinheli vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.3%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
89.8%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.8%
0-4
11%
1-5
4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
15.6%
0-5
7.5%
1-6
2.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
10.1%
0-6
4.3%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5.5%
0-7
2.1%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0%
-7
2.6%
0-8
0.9%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1.1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Felinheli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 2
FEL
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 4
CON
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 1
CYG
33%
22%
45%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SAL
3 - 1
FEL
78%
14%
9%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 0
CAE
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 0
BAL
50%
24%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
NEW
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 4
NEW
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 0
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |