Pego vs Muro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RAC
2 - 1
PEG
67%
19%
14%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PEG
0 - 1
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PEG
0 - 1
UEM
55%
21%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FON
2 - 1
PEG
64%
20%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LLX
2 - 1
PEG
79%
13%
7%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 0
FON
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAS
3 - 1
MUR
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MUR
4 - 0
LLX
29%
24%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +3 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
POR
0 - 3
MUR
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MUR
4 - 1
RAF
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |