Pedras Rubras vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
64.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pedras Rubras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 1
PED
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PED
1 - 3
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FEL
3 - 0
PED
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PED
2 - 0
VIL
61%
21%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PED
4 - 0
MAR
75%
16%
10%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
UNM
1 - 1
AVE
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TON
3 - 2
UNM
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FEI
3 - 1
UNM
50%
28%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
UNM
0 - 1
BEL
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 1
UNM
58%
24%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |