Pedras Rubras vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pedras Rubras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 2
PED
48%
24%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PED
0 - 1
SOB
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GON
2 - 1
PED
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PED
2 - 0
COI
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +3 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LUS
4 - 0
PED
54%
23%
24%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SOB
1 - 0
LUS
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
COI
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CIN
2 - 2
LUS
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
ESP
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LUS
4 - 0
PED
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |