Pécsi MFC vs Samsung Vác FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pécsi MFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
KAP
1 - 2
PEC
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
PEC
2 - 1
VAS
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
PAK
0 - 1
PEC
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BUD
0 - 1
PEC
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
FTC
4 - 0
PEC
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Samsung Vác FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2006 |
SAM
1 - 1
VAS
31%
25%
45%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
SAM
1 - 2
SOP
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
ZTE
1 - 1
SAM
73%
18%
10%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
VAS
2 - 1
SAM
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
SAM
0 - 1
REA
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |