Pécsi MFC vs Ferencváros II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
6º
3º
32
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 70 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 62 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 61 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 59 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 53 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 42 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 39 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 33 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 25 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 25 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 18 |
16º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pécsi MFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MAV
2 - 0
PEC
17%
24%
59%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SZE
0 - 1
PEC
11%
22%
67%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KSE
0 - 1
PEC
11%
18%
72%
|
50 | 8 | 42 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PEC
8 - 0
FCD
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
VUK
3 - 1
PEC
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencváros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FER
5 - 0
FCD
60%
19%
20%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BVO
0 - 3
FER
21%
20%
58%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
GVC
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
III
3 - 3
FER
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
BSC
27%
26%
48%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |