Montespaccato vs Trastevere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
51%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montespaccato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
RIE
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 2
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
SPO
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
MON
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
UNV
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Trastevere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LAT
3 - 1
TRA
57%
24%
19%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 2
SSS
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
TRA
4 - 0
ASD
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 2
MAT
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 2
TRA
27%
25%
49%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |