Montespaccato vs Pro Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montespaccato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
USP
3 - 0
MON
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MON
4 - 0
SDT
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TIF
2 - 1
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
ACS
63%
19%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ARZ
0 - 0
MON
67%
19%
13%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 3
GAV
20%
21%
59%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 2
PRO
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
RIE
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
PRO
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
UNV
73%
15%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |