PD Rociera vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PD Rociera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
DHM
0 - 2
ROC
80%
12%
7%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ROC
2 - 1
TOR
36%
24%
40%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ARH
4 - 0
ROC
35%
24%
41%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ROC
0 - 1
VEN
27%
24%
49%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ROC
2 - 0
MOR
73%
17%
10%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
EST
5 - 1
MOR
63%
19%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 0
EST
44%
24%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 2
CDD
42%
24%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MAI
5 - 1
EST
63%
22%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
CDD
60%
21%
19%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |