PD Rociera vs Arahal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PD Rociera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VEN
2 - 3
ROC
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
ROC
28%
23%
48%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ROC
0 - 1
PUE
57%
22%
21%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 2
ROC
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
ROC
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ARH
3 - 1
MOR
54%
22%
25%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 2
ARH
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ARH
0 - 1
CDD
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MAI
3 - 0
ARH
61%
21%
18%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ARH
1 - 2
CDD
44%
24%
33%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |