Paysandu vs Vitória analysis

Paysandu Vitória
76 ELO 78
15.7% Tilt -0.1%
453º General ELO ranking 96º
32º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
48.2%
Paysandu
24.4%
Draw
27.5%
Vitória

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
Paysandu
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.5%
Win probability
Vitória
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Paysandu
+10%
+5%
Vitória

ELO progression

Paysandu
Vitória
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Paysandu
Paysandu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jun. 2004
PAY
Paysandu
1 - 0
São Paulo
SAO
26%
23%
51%
74 86 12 0
13 Jun. 2004
CRZ
Cruzeiro
1 - 0
Paysandu
PAY
77%
15%
8%
75 87 12 -1
29 May. 2004
FFL
Figueirense
1 - 1
Paysandu
PAY
58%
22%
20%
75 79 4 0
22 May. 2004
PAY
Paysandu
1 - 3
Grêmio
GRE
43%
25%
32%
75 81 6 0
15 May. 2004
PAY
Paysandu
1 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
41%
24%
35%
75 81 6 0

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jun. 2004
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 3
Vitória
VIT
59%
22%
19%
78 81 3 0
16 Jun. 2004
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 0
Vitória
VIT
53%
24%
22%
79 79 0 -1
13 Jun. 2004
VIT
Vitória
1 - 2
Santos FC
SAN
37%
24%
39%
79 84 5 0
09 Jun. 2004
VIT
Vitória
0 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
56%
22%
22%
79 78 1 0
29 May. 2004
VIT
Vitória
2 - 1
Internacional
SCI
51%
24%
26%
79 82 3 0