Paysandu vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAY
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
PAY
0 - 1
COR
22%
23%
55%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
VIT
5 - 1
PAY
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
FLA
1 - 2
PAY
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
PAY
1 - 2
POR
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
VAS
1 - 0
COT
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
VAS
1 - 2
ATM
56%
22%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
JUV
1 - 0
VAS
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
GOI
2 - 4
VAS
39%
25%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2002 |
VAS
0 - 1
GAM
87%
9%
4%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |