Paysandu vs Tuna Luso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
IND
3 - 3
PAY
8%
18%
74%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
PRI
0 - 0
PAY
7%
17%
76%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SEC
2 - 1
PAY
7%
14%
79%
|
62 | 25 | 37 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 0
BPA
78%
14%
8%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAY
2 - 1
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
1 - 2
FRA
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
1 - 2
REM
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
TUN
0 - 1
CSA
15%
21%
64%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TUN
1 - 0
SEC
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
BPA
3 - 3
TUN
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |