Paysandu vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PAY
3 - 0
SCH
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 24 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PAY
1 - 1
VIT
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 0
PAY
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PAY
1 - 0
FFL
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FFL
2 - 1
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RDA
0 - 4
TOC
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
TOC
66%
23%
11%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TOC
0 - 3
SAO
18%
29%
53%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 0
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
TOC
67%
19%
13%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |