Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 4-4
Paysandu vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
44.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
PAY
1 - 0
ASA
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
PAY
3 - 0
FRA
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CRB
0 - 0
PAY
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
FRA
0 - 1
PAY
13%
18%
68%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 0
AGU
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
COT
0 - 1
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SCI
2 - 1
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 3
SPO
15%
22%
63%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 1
CHA
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
SPO
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |