Copa Verde Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Paysandu vs São Raimundo AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAY
8%
17%
74%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
PAY
2 - 0
TOC
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PAY
3 - 0
SCH
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 22 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PAY
1 - 1
VIT
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 0
PAY
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
São Raimundo AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAY
8%
17%
74%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 3
SAO
74%
15%
10%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TOC
4 - 1
SAO
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
TOC
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |